Posts Tagged ‘june’

First of all I want to go ahead and admit that I was wrong when I said that the market would go up early in the morning and then reverse in late trading to fall about 1-1.5%. That was my intuition but it obviously didn’t happen. The market continued to stay at very strong resistance but failed to break it. It looks like my down day might get delayed by a couple of hours and take affect either tomorrow or the day after. Tomorrow is an important day as it is also the last day of the month. At this point i would rather be more bearish than bullish as we have the H&S formation still in play and a lot of resistance from over head, and today’s volume was incredibly low (as low as fridays or even lower). I look at different charts to show how the bearish side looks more promising, but I stay neutral on some action. I view SPY, XLF, GS, AAPL, AMZN, VIX.

Today I look at the SPY, GS, VIX, AAPL, AMZN and talk about some other charts as we end the month with a Doji candle and the day down with somewhat stronger volume. The action is still not bearish and is more neutral, wednesday and thursday will be incredibly important.

JUST AS EXPECTED! We saw a rally to 920-926, more specifically 923 and then the market reversed to end up just a little up for the day on incredibly low volume. This to me, seems like a bear flag development and is very bearish for tomorrows trading. Also strong options activity shows that we could be selling off very strongly both friday late trading and monday as people have sold to open millions of contracts that are IN THE MONEY (75-90$ calls). Check out this video, as we might be headed for a strong sell off to the 875-880 level on the SPX.

Today I look only at the SPY and VIX chart, but I forecast two potential scenarios in the market, that both lead to a higher (lower volume) ending day (0.5-1%) for tuesdays trade. The first is a small gap higher due to the amateurish action that happened in the last 20 minutes of trading and then a sustained low volume increase until the end of the day, potentially forming a doji green candle. The second is a continued sell off lower to hit the 88.20 level in which we will reverse mid day and end the day potentially flat or slightly positive. I hope you take my words of advice that I put out on this video because it is extremely important in order to become a good trader!

Hey guys, Even though this week is options expiration week, ti seems like this market is acting very reasonably and is following the charts so far to the tee. Today I look at the SPY and talk about the significant, high volume (relatively) drop that we had and where I think we’re headed in the next few days. The SPY has traded below the 92.80 level but managed to regain it by the end of the day. This means that we have potentially started a new trend of lower highs and lower lows…, but we will have to see how far the bulls can take this market up before we can safely categorize this bearish trend. I also look at the VIX which broke its descending wedge resistance, and how it can be free to move higher from here. In addition look at charts of GS, XLF, DZZ, SRS, UNG and AMZN.